Hmmm... interesting how you have left out most the Y&R Nominees. Reminds me of.....
Anyways Lead Actor has DD, PB and MM in the running. Yes, MM is good, but I would give it to DD or PB over him because of the material they had last year. (It is based on the 2012 calendar year)
Lead actress will be Susan Flannery of B&B. This was her final year, she had a BIG storyline and is deserving of the award.
Supporting Actress, MCE is up against follow Y&R JC (Avery). I would give MCE the edge, but I think they both will lose to one of the other shows. KKL had some amazing scenes with SF, and always delivers.
Supporting Actor which you didn't even both mention, features the amazing Billy Miller!!! BM is definitely a contender and could take this home. Also in this category is ex-Ronan JB (he won't get it).
Both HK (Summer) and ME (Fen) are nominated in the younger actor/actress catergory. I think HK will be beat out, but I definitely think ME can take it home. He has done great at playing creepy, unbalanced Fen.